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Clay County, FL

RANK #903 / 996  ·  POP 219,650  ·  FL

PROJECTED GROWTH: -1.7%

Clay County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Clay County?

Clay County, Florida, distinguishes itself with its abundance of natural water features, including Kingsley Lake, Lake Asbury, Doctors Lake, and Black Creek, which offer extensive opportunities for outdoor recreation like hiking, fishing, and water sports. Located southwest of Jacksonville, the county maintains a suburban and rural feel, despite its proximity to the larger city. Commuting to Jacksonville is common, with over half of Clay County's workforce traveling to other counties for work, resulting in an average commute time of approximately 33 minutes. The ongoing construction of the First Coast Expressway, with several interchanges within Clay County, aims to improve connectivity and ease travel.

Life in Clay County often appeals to families seeking a balance between suburban amenities and natural surroundings. The Clay County School District is recognized for its academic programs. Recent economic developments in the county are driven by significant investments in infrastructure, particularly with the First Coast Expressway project, which is fostering new residential, commercial, and industrial growth. There is also ongoing development in master-planned communities that include new housing and schools. The county's strategic location and available land are attracting businesses, contributing to job creation and supporting a growing population.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+5.9%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-2.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 7.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Clay County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
219,650
+1.55% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,242
Median Home Value
$254,500
-1.96% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,372
Average Annual Pay
$54,688
+6.1% YoY
Employment
57,413
+2.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3232
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.6%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$340,000
Days on Market
84
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
17.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.7%
Building Permits (2024)
1,880
Single-Family Permits
1,863

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$2,395M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
First Coast Expressway (FCX) - Phase 3
Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT)
$1,900M Under Construction
IKO Industries Manufacturing Campus (Clay Hill)
IKO Industries Ltd.
$270M Under Construction
Solar Energy Centers (Magnolia Springs, Anhinga, Terrill Creek)
Florida Power & Light Company (FPL)
$225M Operating/Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.9% 90 percentile
Population Growth +1.6% 84 percentile
Income Growth +11.1% 90 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 77 percentile
Home Price Change -2.0% 15 percentile
Rent Growth +1.1% 21 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 70 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Clay County, FL a good place to move to?

Clay County has a Boom Town Index score of 9/100, ranking #903 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +2.6% and a median household income of $82,242, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Clay County affordable?

The median home value in Clay County is $254,500 with median rent at $1,372/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3232, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Clay County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +1.6% year-over-year. Job growth: +2.6%. Home values changed -2.0% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Clay County?

Yes — 5.6% of Clay County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Santa Rosa County, FL 19 Forrest County, MS 19 Fayette County, GA 19 Umatilla County, OR 19 Contra Costa County, CA 19 Chatham County, NC 19 Lafayette Parish, LA 19 Putnam County, TN 19