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Guadalupe County, TX

RANK #936 / 996  ·  POP 173,828  ·  TX

PROJECTED GROWTH: -2.3%

Guadalupe County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Guadalupe County?

Guadalupe County, Texas, is often recognized for Lake McQueeney, known as the "water ski capital of Texas," and the scenic Guadalupe River that flows through it. Located in south-central Texas, the county sits between Austin and San Antonio, with Seguin serving as the county seat. Many residents commute to nearby San Antonio, which is about 35 miles away. The community offers a mix of suburban and rural settings, with outdoor recreation opportunities along the Guadalupe River, including swimming, fishing, tubing, and canoeing. Guadalupe River State Park provides miles of river frontage and trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding.

Life in Guadalupe County attracts families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. Commute patterns vary, with towns like Cibolo and Schertz aligning with the I-35 corridor for San Antonio access, while Seguin has its own local industries and I-10 rhythm. The economy is experiencing growth, with job increases outpacing the national rate in recent years. Major investment is occurring in sectors such as advanced manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure, contributing to a growing workforce. Educational institutions are expanding to support these industries, preparing residents for high-demand careers.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.6x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+5.2%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-2.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.6x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Guadalupe County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
173,828
+2.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$88,111
Median Home Value
$258,600
-2.6% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,278
Average Annual Pay
$59,236
+3.6% YoY
Employment
48,527
+2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3407
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.18%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$261,499
Days on Market
123
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.7
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
8.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
37.9%
Building Permits (2024)
2,062
Single-Family Permits
1,905

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$2,343M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
San Marcos Data Center I (CloudBurst & Evolve Holdings)
CloudBurst Data Centers & Evolve Holdings
$1,200M Under Construction
AW Texas Manufacturing Plant
AW Texas (Aisin)
$400M Operating
Alamo Area Metropolitan Planning Organization (AAMPO) Transportation Projects (7 projects)
Alamo Area Metropolitan Planning Organization (AAMPO)
$256M Proposed
Guadalupe Battery Storage Project
Undisclosed (Cleanview tracks developer)
$211M Planned
Rockridge Solar
Undisclosed (Cleanview tracks developer)
$211M Planned
Continental Structural Plastics, Inc. Manufacturing Plant
Continental Structural Plastics, Inc.
$65M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.2% 85 percentile
Population Growth +2.6% 93 percentile
Income Growth +10.1% 80 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 57 percentile
Home Price Change -2.6% 11 percentile
Rent Growth +0.7% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 56 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Guadalupe County, TX a good place to move to?

Guadalupe County has a Boom Town Index score of 6/100, ranking #936 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +2.4% and a median household income of $88,111, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Guadalupe County affordable?

The median home value in Guadalupe County is $258,600 with median rent at $1,278/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3407, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Guadalupe County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +2.6% year-over-year. Job growth: +2.4%. Home values changed -2.6% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Guadalupe County?

Yes — 5.18% of Guadalupe County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

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