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Jefferson County, TX

RANK #908 / 996  ·  POP 254,942  ·  TX

PROJECTED GROWTH: -1.8%

Jefferson County is losing people and economic momentum. This metro faces significant structural headwinds.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Texas, is known for its position within the "Golden Triangle" alongside Port Arthur and Orange, a hub for manufacturing and petrochemical production. Located in Southeast Texas, approximately 90 miles east of Houston and 23 miles west of Louisiana, the county offers a blend of coastal plains and forested areas. The Neches River forms its northeastern boundary, and a series of lakes and Gulf Coast beaches provide opportunities for outdoor recreation like fishing, kayaking, and birding. Notable towns include Beaumont, the county seat, and Port Arthur. Commute options primarily involve extensive highway networks, including Interstate 10, and local transit services are available in some areas.

Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a mix of families and long-time residents, with public schools generally considered above average. The economy is largely driven by its deepwater ports and industrial sectors, particularly petrochemicals and shipbuilding. Recent years have seen substantial industrial expansion, attracting investments and creating jobs across energy and manufacturing. The county is also exploring diversification into other industries.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
1.8x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+12.4%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+2.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 1.8x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
254,942
-0.71% YoY
Median Household Income
$57,294
Median Home Value
$151,500
+2.36% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,004
Average Annual Pay
$69,970
+5.4% YoY
Employment
124,861
+4.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3782
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.33%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$202,500
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
3.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.2%
Building Permits (2024)
356
Single-Family Permits
336

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$57,220M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Industrial Infrastructure Expansion Projects (various)
Various (including Chevron)
$56,000M Under Construction
Port Arthur LNG Facility
Sempra Infrastructure
$1,000M Under Construction
Willow Marsh Renewable Energy Center
US Solar
$120M Planned
Jefferson Energy Terminal Expansion
Jefferson Energy Companies
$50M Operating
Coastal Restoration Projects
Jefferson County
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +12.4% 99 percentile
Population Growth -0.7% 6 percentile
Income Growth +6.9% 16 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 45 percentile
Home Price Change +2.4% 64 percentile
Rent Growth +4.6% 74 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 90 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, TX a good place to move to?

Jefferson County has a Boom Town Index score of 9/100, ranking #908 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +4.8% and a median household income of $57,294, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

The median home value in Jefferson County is $151,500 with median rent at $1,004/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3782, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: -0.7% year-over-year. Job growth: +4.8%. Home values changed +2.4% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

Yes — 4.33% of Jefferson County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Santa Rosa County, FL 19 Forrest County, MS 19 Fayette County, GA 19 Umatilla County, OR 19 Contra Costa County, CA 19 Chatham County, NC 19 Lafayette Parish, LA 19 Putnam County, TN 19