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Kern County, CA

RANK #688 / 996  ·  POP 906,883  ·  CA

PROJECTED GROWTH: +0.1%

Kern County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Kern County?

Home to Bakersfield, often called the "country music capital of the West Coast," Kern County spans the southern end of California's Central Valley, extending into the Sierra Nevada mountains and Mojave Desert. This diverse geography, California's third-largest county by area, offers a range of outdoor activities. Residents can enjoy whitewater rafting on the Kern River, explore hiking trails at Wind Wolves Preserve, or visit Lake Isabella for boating and fishing. The county's climate features long, warm summers and mild, wet winters, making outdoor recreation accessible for much of the year. Commute times vary, but public transportation options, including local and intercity bus services, are available throughout the county.

Life in the county is shaped by its agricultural roots and expanding industries. Kern County is a major agricultural producer, known for almonds, grapes, citrus fruits, and pistachios. Beyond agriculture, the economy is supported by petroleum extraction, as well as a growing presence in aviation, space, and military sectors, with facilities like Edwards Air Force Base. Recent economic developments include state initiatives aimed at fostering job growth and innovation across various sectors. The Kern High School District serves a large student population across numerous campuses, including comprehensive and alternative education sites.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.2x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.6%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-0.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
4.8

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.2x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Kern County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
906,883
+0.14% YoY
Median Household Income
$63,883
Median Home Value
$282,800
-0.53% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,161
Average Annual Pay
$60,066
+4.2% YoY
Employment
347,664
+1.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2259
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.53%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$380,000
Days on Market
55
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
27.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.8%
Building Permits (2024)
3,244
Single-Family Permits
2,812

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$6,040M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Bellefield Solar + Storage (Phases 1 & 2)
AES Corporation
$2,000M Under Construction
Alta Wind Energy Center (Expansion)
Terra-Gen Power
$1,550M Operating
Discovery Solar PV and Storage
Terra-Gen
$1,400M Proposed
Pacific Steel Mill
Pacific Steel
$540M Planned
Rosamond Central Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)
Clearway Energy Group
$400M Operating
Park Center at Seven Oaks (Apartment Community)
Fuller Apartment Homes
$150M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.6% 80 percentile
Population Growth +0.1% 36 percentile
Income Growth +8.6% 53 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 52 percentile
Home Price Change -0.5% 26 percentile
Rent Growth +2.5% 41 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 51 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kern County, CA a good place to move to?

Kern County has a Boom Town Index score of 31/100, ranking #688 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +1.3% and a median household income of $63,883, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Kern County affordable?

The median home value in Kern County is $282,800 with median rent at $1,161/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.2259, which is less affordable than the national average.

Is Kern County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +0.1% year-over-year. Job growth: +1.3%. Home values changed -0.5% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Kern County?

Yes — 2.53% of Kern County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

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