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Medina County, TX

RANK #762 / 996  ·  POP 51,432  ·  TX

PROJECTED GROWTH: -0.3%

Medina County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Medina County?

Medina County, Texas, west of San Antonio, offers a blend of small-town character and access to a major metropolitan area. Castroville, a notable town, retains a distinctive Alsatian architectural style from its founding in 1844. The county is characterized by rolling hills and open plains, with the Medina River traversing its northeastern portion. Outdoor recreation opportunities include hunting and fishing, particularly at Medina Lake, known for its catfish and bass. Government Canyon State Natural Area provides hiking trails with varied terrain and views of the Texas Hill Country. The average commute time for residents is around 31.6 minutes.

Life in Medina County often appeals to families and those seeking a quieter, more rural setting with proximity to urban amenities. The community is experiencing growth in both population and infrastructure. The local economy has historical roots in agriculture, with farming and ranching remaining important. Recent economic developments indicate investment in sectors such as data centers and energy. The county is served by several independent school districts, including Medina Valley ISD, Devine ISD, and Hondo ISD.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
-1.0%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
-2.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
8x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 7.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Medina County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
51,432
+1.93% YoY
Median Household Income
$73,060
Median Home Value
$186,200
-2.51% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,038
Average Annual Pay
$49,233
+3.9% YoY
Employment
10,860
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3924
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.72%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$342,990
Days on Market
195
Slower market
Months of Supply
8.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.5%
Building Permits (2024)
100
Single-Family Permits
100

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$3,002M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Microsoft Data Centers (Multiple Projects)
Microsoft
$1,465M Under Construction
Project Cinco Data Center Campus
Rowan Digital Infrastructure
$900M Under Construction
Dunlay Solar (2 projects)
$331M Planned
Hondo Arroyo Storage & Ranger BESS (Battery Storage)
$256M Planned
Viera Master-Planned Community
Masonwood Development
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -1.0% 4 percentile
Population Growth +1.9% 89 percentile
Income Growth +8.8% 56 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 82 percentile
Home Price Change -2.5% 12 percentile
Rent Growth +7.1% 91 percentile
Price/Rent 8x 98 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Medina County, TX a good place to move to?

Medina County has a Boom Town Index score of 24/100, ranking #762 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +1.9% and a median household income of $73,060, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Medina County affordable?

The median home value in Medina County is $186,200 with median rent at $1,038/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3924, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Medina County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +1.9% year-over-year. Job growth: +1.9%. Home values changed -2.5% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Medina County?

Yes — 5.72% of Medina County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Cabarrus County, NC 34 Weber County, UT 34 Ascension Parish, LA 34 St. Louis city, MO 34 Mercer County, NJ 34 Madison County, TN 34 Hardin County, KY 34 Cleveland County, OK 34