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Mendocino County, CA

RANK #895 / 996  ·  POP 91,145  ·  CA

PROJECTED GROWTH: -1.6%

Mendocino County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Mendocino County?

Mendocino County, located on California's North Coast, is known for its dramatic Pacific Ocean coastline, redwood forests, and a distinctive blend of natural beauty and small-town charm. The picturesque village of Mendocino, with its Victorian architecture and cliffside views, is a notable landmark. The county is approximately a three-hour drive north of the San Francisco Bay Area, offering a quieter alternative to more urbanized regions. Outdoor recreation is a major draw, with opportunities for kayaking along the coast, hiking and mountain biking in Mendocino National Forest, and exploring redwood groves in parks like Hendy Woods State Park and Navarro River Redwoods State Park. Visitors can also find unique attractions like Glass Beach in Fort Bragg, where colorful sea glass covers the shoreline.

Life in Mendocino County offers a slower pace, attracting families, young professionals, and retirees who appreciate the natural surroundings. Public transportation, including the Mendocino Transit Authority, connects towns like Ukiah, Willits, and Fort Bragg, and also provides routes to Santa Rosa. The economy has historically relied on industries such as wine production, timber, and agriculture, though some of these sectors have faced recent challenges. Healthcare and local government are significant employers, and there is a focus on developing economic growth in areas like cannabis, home hardening, construction, and recreational tourism. Mendocino County school districts, such as Mendocino Unified and Fort Bragg Unified, serve the local student population.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.1%

Above national median

Home Prices
-2.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
10.9

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 11.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Mendocino County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
91,145
-0.42% YoY
Median Household Income
$61,335
Median Home Value
$463,700
-1.99% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,240
Average Annual Pay
$53,903
+3.8% YoY
Employment
32,084
-0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1323
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.07%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$481,500
Days on Market
149
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.3
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
14.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.4%
Building Permits (2024)
9
Single-Family Permits
9

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$130M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Last-Mile Delivery Center
Amazon
$50M Under Construction
Ukiah New Single-Family Homes (170+ homes)
Christopherson Communities
$50M In Planning
Long-Duration Energy Storage System (5 MW / 500 MWh)
Form Energy
$30M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.1% 58 percentile
Population Growth -0.4% 12 percentile
Income Growth +8.8% 58 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 89 percentile
Home Price Change -2.0% 15 percentile
Rent Growth +7.5% 92 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 12 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mendocino County, CA a good place to move to?

Mendocino County has a Boom Town Index score of 10/100, ranking #895 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at -0.2% and a median household income of $61,335, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Mendocino County affordable?

The median home value in Mendocino County is $463,700 with median rent at $1,240/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.1323, which is less affordable than the national average.

Is Mendocino County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: -0.4% year-over-year. Job growth: -0.2%. Home values changed -2.0% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Mendocino County?

Yes — 3.07% of Mendocino County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

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