RANK #970 / 996 · POP 569,211 · FL
PROJECTED GROWTH: -4.0%
Known for its extensive natural landscapes, Pasco County, Florida, offers a blend of coastal access and inland wilderness. Located just north of Tampa, it provides a quieter alternative to the nearby city, with a commute of about 30 miles. The county features 20 miles of shoreline, including barrier islands with beaches, and numerous parks and preserves like Jay B. Starkey Wilderness Park and Werner-Boyce Salt Springs State Park. These areas provide opportunities for hiking, biking, kayaking, and wildlife viewing. Towns like New Port Richey offer a historic riverfront feel, while Zephyrhills is known for its spring water and skydiving.
Pasco County's quality of life attracts families, retirees, and remote workers seeking a balance of natural beauty and suburban amenities. The public school system serves over 85,000 students across more than 100 schools. While many residents historically commuted to Tampa or St. Petersburg, the local economy is expanding. Recent developments include growth in commercial and residential sectors, as well as investments in industrial, logistics, and manufacturing. The county also has a public transportation system, GoPasco, offering fixed bus routes and paratransit services.
Overvalued relative to economy
Prices declining
Housing looks overvalued at 7.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
Double Branch Master-Planned Development (formerly Pasco Town Center)
Columnar Holdings
|
$600M | Under Construction |
|
Shady Hills Combined Cycle Facility Project (573 MW)
Shady Hills Energy Center, LLC (Seminole Electric Cooperative, Inc.)
|
$573M | Operating |
|
Amazon Robotic Sortation Center (ARSC)
Amazon
|
$150M | Under Construction |
|
Solar Farm Portfolio (Mountain View & Juniper Solar)
Tampa Electric Co.
|
$125M | Operating |
|
MiTek Manufacturing Facility
MiTek
|
$80M | Planned |
|
Target Fulfillment Center
Target Corporate Office (NorthPoint Development)
|
$60M | Under Construction |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.
Pasco County has a Boom Town Index score of 3/100, ranking #970 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +3.1% and a median household income of $63,187, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.
The median home value in Pasco County is $233,600 with median rent at $1,282/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.2705, which is more affordable than the national average.
Population growth: +3.2% year-over-year. Job growth: +3.1%. Home values changed -4.7% in the past 12 months.
Yes — 4.18% of Pasco County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.