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Warren County, KY

RANK #529 / 996  ·  POP 135,307  ·  KY

PROJECTED GROWTH: +0.6%

Warren County shows below-average economic momentum. Growth signals are flat or softening.

[01] Why Warren County?

Home to the General Motors Corvette Assembly Plant and the National Corvette Museum, Warren County, Kentucky, is located in the south-central part of the state, about an hour north of Nashville, Tennessee. The county seat, Bowling Green, sits along the Barren River, which, along with the Green River forming the county's northern border, offers opportunities for paddling and fishing. Interstate 65 transects the county, providing direct commutes. The area features rolling landscapes and numerous parks, including Lost River Cave, which offers underground boat tours.

Warren County maintains a quality of life that attracts families and young professionals. The public school system, Warren County Public Schools, serves over 18,000 students across 34 schools and is recognized for its academic and athletic programs. Western Kentucky University also contributes to the educational landscape. The local economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in manufacturing, including a new Tyson Foods bacon production facility and the Envision AESC plant. Housing developments are also underway to address the demand for affordable options.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.5x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+6.5%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.7

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.5x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
135,307
+1.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$63,074
Median Home Value
$227,300
+1.09% 12mo
Median Rent
$942
Average Annual Pay
$55,488
+4.3% YoY
Employment
70,761
+2.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2775
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.98%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$340,000
Days on Market
146
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.9
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
14.3%
Building Permits (2024)
2,286
Single-Family Permits
791

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$5,624M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Data Center
Amazon
$3,000M Planned
EV Battery Gigafactory
Envision AESC
$2,000M Under Construction
Tyson Foods Bacon Production Facility
Tyson Foods
$355M Completed
Echo Trail Affordable Housing Community
LDG Development, PNC Bank, Kentucky Housing Corporation
$223M Under Construction
Kentucky Transpark Expansion
City of Bowling Green and Warren County
$46M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.5% 92 percentile
Population Growth +1.6% 84 percentile
Income Growth +9.5% 71 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 38 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 47 percentile
Rent Growth +0.8% 17 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 36 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, KY a good place to move to?

Warren County has a Boom Town Index score of 47/100, ranking #529 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +2.2% and a median household income of $63,074, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Warren County affordable?

The median home value in Warren County is $227,300 with median rent at $942/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.2775, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +1.6% year-over-year. Job growth: +2.2%. Home values changed +1.1% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Warren County?

Yes — 4.98% of Warren County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Lee County, NC 57 Raleigh County, WV 57 St. Croix County, WI 57 Penobscot County, ME 57 Tulsa County, OK 57 Muscogee County, GA 57 Potter County, TX 57 Somerset County, PA 57